Matteo Berrettini vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 9, 2025 • 8:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Berrettini
54% · 15–13 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,597 points across 36 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,597 points across 36 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.5 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.1 | 50% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
100% · 3–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,458 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,458 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matteo Berrettini and Stefanos Tsitsipas are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Berrettini enters with a 15–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tsitsipas has posted a 13–12 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 3–1 over Berrettini, including a win in their most recent meeting.