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Match analytics

Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 9, 2025 • 1:30 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Karen Khachanov

Key insights

Player performance profile

Karen Khachanov

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.984% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.460% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.726% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
43%31% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jakub Mensik

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,836 points across 69 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.286% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.753% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.350% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%65% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Karen Khachanov and Jakub Mensik are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Khachanov enters with a 15–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mensik has posted a 24–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mensik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 2–1 over Mensik.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Khachanov and Mensik alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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