Roman Safiullin vs Lorenzo Musetti · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 7, 2025 • 11:30 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Lorenzo Musetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Roman Safiullin
43% · 9–12 on hard
43% · 3–4 on clay
20% · 1–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,658 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,658 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,330 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,330 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 66% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Roman Safiullin and Lorenzo Musetti are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Safiullin enters with a 9–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Musetti has posted a 26–17 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Musetti leads 2–1 over Safiullin, including a win in their most recent meeting.