Corentin Denolly vs Calvin Hemery · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali 2 • Clay • Mar 5, 2025 • 10:30 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Calvin Hemery
Key insights
Player performance profile
Corentin Denolly
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~705 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~705 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Calvin Hemery
36% · 9–16 on hard
57% · 21–16 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,426 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,426 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.1 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Corentin Denolly and Calvin Hemery are set to meet at the Kigali 2 on March 5, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Denolly enters with a 25–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Hemery has posted a 21–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hemery entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hemery leads 4–0 over Denolly, including a win in their most recent meeting.