Caroline Garcia vs Bernarda Pera · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 5, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Caroline Garcia
Key insights
Player performance profile
Caroline Garcia
33% · 4–8 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,594 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,594 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.1 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Bernarda Pera
40% · 8–12 on hard
38% · 5–8 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,377 points across 36 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,377 points across 36 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Caroline Garcia and Bernarda Pera are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 5, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Garcia enters with a 4–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Pera has posted a 8–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Garcia entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pera leads 2–1 over Garcia, including a win in their most recent meeting.