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Match analytics

Luka Pavlovic vs Carlos Taberner · Match odds & ELO prediction

Kigali 2 • Clay • Mar 4, 2025 • 11:50 AM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Luka Pavlovic

Key insights

Player performance profile

Luka Pavlovic

HARDSmall sample

25% · 13 on hard

CLAY

61% · 3019 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

67% · 21 on grass

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,311 points across 7 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.69% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.894% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Carlos Taberner

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,952 points across 14 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.59% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.083% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+8.797% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%98% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Luka Pavlovic and Carlos Taberner are set to meet at the Kigali 2 on March 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Pavlovic enters with a 30–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Taberner has posted a 45–24 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Taberner entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Taberner leads 2–1 over Pavlovic, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Pavlovic and Taberner have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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