Varvara Lepchenko vs Alexia Todoni Anca · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 2, 2025 • 6:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Varvara Lepchenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,298 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,298 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexia Todoni Anca
55% · 11–9 on hard
82% · 14–3 on clay
20% · 1–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,357 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,357 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.4 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Lepchenko and Alexia Todoni Anca are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Lepchenko enters with a 17–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Anca has posted a 11–9 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Anca leads 2–1 over Lepchenko.