Match analytics

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Match odds & ELO prediction

Dubai • Hard • Mar 1, 2025 • 3:15 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas

Key insights

Player performance profile

Stefanos Tsitsipas

HARDSmall sample

100% · 30 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,458 points across 40 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.892% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.240% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.834% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%64% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Felix Auger-Aliassime

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,193 points across 72 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
5.097% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.656% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.757% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
64%81% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger-Aliassime are set to meet at the Dubai on March 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tsitsipas enters with a 13–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Auger-Aliassime has posted a 43–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tsitsipas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 4–2 over Auger-Aliassime.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Tsitsipas and Auger-Aliassime have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.