Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria · Match odds & ELO prediction
Santiago • Clay • Feb 28, 2025 • 11:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
29% · 2–5 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,347 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,347 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Federico Coria
0% · 0–1 on hard
54% · 20–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,854 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,854 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Coria are set to meet at the Santiago on February 28, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 27–14 record on clay courts in 2025, while Coria has posted a 20–17 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Carabelli entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Carabelli leads 3–1 over Coria, including a win in their most recent meeting.