Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Santiago • Clay • Feb 28, 2025 • 11:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,465 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,465 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.1 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Federico Coria
0% · 0–1 on hard
54% · 20–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,762 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,762 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Coria are set to meet at the ATP Santiago on February 28, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 27–14 record on clay courts in 2025, while Coria has posted a 20–17 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Coria entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Carabelli leads 3–1 over Coria, including a win in their most recent meeting.