Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali • Clay • Feb 28, 2025 • 12:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Valentin Royer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Valentin Royer
17% · 2–10 on hard
62% · 8–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,828 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,828 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marco Cecchinato
53% · 39–34 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~360 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~360 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 50% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Valentin Royer and Marco Cecchinato are set to meet at the Kigali on February 28, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Royer enters with a 31–11 record on clay courts in 2025, while Cecchinato has posted a 39–34 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Royer, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Royer leads 2–0 over Cecchinato, including a win in their most recent meeting.