Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Berrettini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dubai • Hard • Feb 27, 2025 • 6:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefanos Tsitsipas
100% · 3–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,458 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,458 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Berrettini
54% · 15–13 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,597 points across 36 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,597 points across 36 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.5 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.1 | 50% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Matteo Berrettini are set to meet at the Dubai on February 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tsitsipas enters with a 13–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Berrettini has posted a 15–13 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 3–1 over Berrettini, including a win in their most recent meeting.