Lukas Neumayer vs Marco Cecchinato · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali • Clay • Feb 27, 2025 • 9:40 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Marco Cecchinato
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lukas Neumayer
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,883 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,883 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.3 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marco Cecchinato
53% · 39–34 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lukas Neumayer and Marco Cecchinato are set to meet at the Kigali on February 27, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Neumayer enters with a 32–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Cecchinato has posted a 39–34 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Cecchinato leads 3–0 over Neumayer, including a win in their most recent meeting.