Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dubai • Hard • Feb 26, 2025 • 5:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefanos Tsitsipas
100% · 3–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,377 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,377 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.1 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,748 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,748 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Dubai on February 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tsitsipas enters with a 13–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Khachanov has posted a 15–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 7–1 over Khachanov, including a win in their most recent meeting.