Varvara Gracheva vs Peyton Stearns · Match odds & ELO prediction
Austin • Hard • Feb 25, 2025 • 9:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Varvara Gracheva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,663 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,663 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Peyton Stearns
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,647 points across 38 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,647 points across 38 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Gracheva and Peyton Stearns are set to meet at the Austin on February 25, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gracheva enters with a 20–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Stearns has posted a 10–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gracheva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gracheva leads 3–2 over Stearns, including a win in their most recent meeting.