Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Acapulco • Hard • Feb 24, 2025 • 2:20 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Gabriel Diallo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mattia Bellucci
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,218 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,218 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gabriel Diallo
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mattia Bellucci and Gabriel Diallo are set to meet at the Acapulco on February 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bellucci enters with a 16–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Diallo has posted a 18–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Diallo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bellucci leads 3–1 over Diallo.