Lourdes Carle Maria vs Emiliana Arango · Match odds & ELO prediction
Merida • Hard • Feb 23, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Emiliana Arango
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emiliana Arango
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
37%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,649 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,649 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 23% | 10% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lourdes Carle Maria and Emiliana Arango are set to meet at the Merida on February 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maria enters with a 7–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Arango has posted a 25–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.