Lourdes Carle Maria vs Emiliana Arango · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 23, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Emiliana Arango
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lourdes Carle Maria
43% · 3–4 on hard
33% · 4–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,027 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,027 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.5 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emiliana Arango
11% · 1–8 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,798 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,798 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lourdes Carle Maria and Emiliana Arango are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maria enters with a 7–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Arango has posted a 25–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Arango, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Arango leads 3–2 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.