Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Pablo Varillas Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Santiago • Clay • Feb 23, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Felipe Meligeni Alves
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felipe Meligeni Alves
25% · 1–3 on hard
63% · 15–9 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
37%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,309 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,309 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.9 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Varillas Juan
0% · 0–1 on hard
62% · 31–19 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felipe Meligeni Alves and Pablo Varillas Juan are set to meet at the ATP Santiago on February 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Alves enters with a 15–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Juan has posted a 31–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Juan, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Juan leads 2–1 over Alves, including a win in their most recent meeting.