Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 18, 2025 • 10:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Francisco Cerundolo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,245 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,245 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Gaston
56% · 9–7 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francisco Cerundolo and Hugo Gaston are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 18, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cerundolo enters with a 21–11 record on clay courts in 2025, while Gaston has posted a 6–14 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cerundolo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Cerundolo leads 2–1 over Gaston, including a win in their most recent meeting.