Christopher O'Connell vs Pavel Kotov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Doha • Hard • Feb 16, 2025 • 10:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Christopher O'Connell
Key insights
Player performance profile
Christopher O'Connell
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,132 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,132 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pavel Kotov
39% · 9–14 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Christopher O'Connell and Pavel Kotov are set to meet at the Doha on February 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. O'Connell enters with a 18–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kotov has posted a 9–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for O'Connell, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, O'Connell leads 3–1 over Kotov, including a win in their most recent meeting.