Christopher O'Connell vs Pavel Kotov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Doha • Hard • Feb 16, 2025 • 10:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Christopher O'Connell
Key insights
Player performance profile
Christopher O'Connell
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,327 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,327 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pavel Kotov
39% · 9–14 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Christopher O'Connell and Pavel Kotov are set to meet at the Doha on February 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. O'Connell enters with a 18–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kotov has posted a 9–14 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, O'Connell leads 3–1 over Kotov, including a win in their most recent meeting.