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Match analytics

Christopher O'Connell vs Pavel Kotov · Match odds & ELO prediction

Doha • Hard • Feb 16, 2025 • 10:05 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Christopher O'Connell

Key insights

Player performance profile

Christopher O'Connell

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,685 points across 51 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.527% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.731% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.673% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
47%37% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Pavel Kotov

HARD

39% · 914 on hard

CLAY

22% · 27 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

0% · 01 on grass

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.515% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.926% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.931% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%14% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Christopher O'Connell and Pavel Kotov are set to meet at the Doha on February 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. O'Connell enters with a 18–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kotov has posted a 9–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for O'Connell entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, O'Connell leads 3–1 over Kotov, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Kotov, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while O'Connell has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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