Tomas Barrios Vera vs Cristian Garin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 15, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Tomas Barrios Vera
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tomas Barrios Vera
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,789 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,789 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tomas Barrios Vera and Cristian Garin are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Vera enters with a 42–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Garin has posted a 38–13 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Garin, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Garin leads 3–2 over Vera, including a win in their most recent meeting.