Joao Fonseca vs Mariano Navone · Match odds & ELO prediction
Buenos Aires • Clay • Feb 14, 2025 • 6:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Joao Fonseca
Key insights
Player performance profile
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,477 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,477 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.2 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mariano Navone
55% · 6–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,976 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,976 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Joao Fonseca and Mariano Navone are set to meet at the Buenos Aires on February 14, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Fonseca enters with a 8–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Navone has posted a 30–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Navone, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fonseca leads 2–1 over Navone, including a win in their most recent meeting.