Kei Nishikori vs Mackenzie McDonald · Match odds & ELO prediction
Delray Beach • Hard • Feb 11, 2025 • 11:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Mackenzie McDonald
Key insights
Player performance profile
Kei Nishikori
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,582 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,582 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mackenzie McDonald
59% · 32–22 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
55% · 6–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,481 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,481 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Kei Nishikori and Mackenzie McDonald are set to meet at the Delray Beach on February 11, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Nishikori enters with a 11–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while McDonald has posted a 32–22 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for McDonald, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, McDonald leads 2–1 over Nishikori, including a win in their most recent meeting.