Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrea Vavassori · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rotterdam • Hard • Feb 6, 2025 • 6:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Carlos Alcaraz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Carlos Alcaraz
84% · 38–7 on hard
96% · 22–1 on clay
92% · 11–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,355 points across 76 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,355 points across 76 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.5 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.4 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 84% | 99% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Vavassori
100% · 1–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~902 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~902 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Andrea Vavassori are set to meet at the Rotterdam on February 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Alcaraz enters with a 38–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Vavassori has posted a 8–5 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vavassori entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Alcaraz leads 2–0 over Vavassori, including a win in their most recent meeting.