BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Jakub Mensik vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rotterdam • Hard • Feb 6, 2025 • 10:15 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Alex De Minaur

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jakub Mensik

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,569 points across 73 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.985% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.655% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.553% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
58%69% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alex De Minaur

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~14,447 points across 97 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
2.272% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.497% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.930% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
47%37% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jakub Mensik and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Rotterdam on February 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mensik enters with a 24–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Minaur has posted a 41–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Minaur, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 4–1 over Mensik.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Mensik and Minaur have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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