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Match analytics

Jakub Mensik vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rotterdam • Hard • Feb 6, 2025 • 10:15 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Alex De Minaur

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jakub Mensik

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,832 points across 63 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.085% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.362% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.469% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%73% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alex De Minaur

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.679% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.798% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.623% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%32% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jakub Mensik and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Rotterdam on February 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mensik enters with a 24–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Minaur has posted a 41–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 4–0 over Mensik, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Mensik and Minaur have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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