BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona · Match odds & ELO prediction

Tenerife • Hard • Feb 3, 2025 • 10:10 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Key insights

Player performance profile

Daniel Merida Aguilar

HARD

63% · 159 on hard

CLAY

69% · 3516 on clay

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,265 points across 8 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.013% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.147% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.392% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

HARD

65% · 137 on hard

CLAY

50% · 1717 on clay

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Match Overview

Daniel Merida Aguilar and Nicolas Alvarez Varona are set to meet at the Tenerife on February 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Aguilar enters with a 15–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Varona has posted a 13–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Aguilar entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Varona leads 3–2 over Aguilar, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Aguilar and Varona have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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