Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tenerife • Hard • Feb 3, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Merida Aguilar
67% · 12–6 on hard
76% · 13–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.2 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
20% · 1–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Nicolas Alvarez Varona are set to meet at the Tenerife on February 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Aguilar enters with a 15–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Varona has posted a 13–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Aguilar, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Varona leads 3–2 over Aguilar, including a win in their most recent meeting.