Match analytics

Ons Jabeur vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction

Abu Dhabi • Hard • Feb 4, 2025 • 3:50 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Ons Jabeur

Key insights

Player performance profile

Ons Jabeur

HARD

60% · 128 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

0% · 03 on clay

GRASS

43% · 34 on grass

Games won (last 10)

41%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,866 points across 27 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.060% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.829% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+9.596% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%83% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jelena Ostapenko

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

43%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,176 points across 36 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.717% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.574% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.012% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
27%12% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Ons Jabeur and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the Abu Dhabi on February 4, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jabeur enters with a 12–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ostapenko has posted a 8–14 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Jabeur and Ostapenko alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.