Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Dayana Yastremska · Match odds & ELO prediction
Linz • Hard • Feb 2, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Ekaterina Alexandrova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,118 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,118 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.6 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Dayana Yastremska
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,333 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,333 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.3 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Dayana Yastremska are set to meet at the Linz on February 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Yastremska has posted a 16–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Alexandrova, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Alexandrova leads 4–0 over Yastremska, including a win in their most recent meeting.