David Goffin vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rotterdam • Hard • Feb 4, 2025 • 12:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
David Goffin
36% · 12–21 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,188 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,188 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,447 points across 97 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,447 points across 97 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 37% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
David Goffin and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Rotterdam on February 4, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Goffin enters with a 12–21 record on hard courts in 2025, while Minaur has posted a 41–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Minaur entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 6–0 over Goffin, including a win in their most recent meeting.