Emerson Jones vs Lilli Tagger · Match odds & ELO prediction
Girls Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2025 • 1:55 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Emerson Jones
Key insights
Player performance profile
Emerson Jones
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,416 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,416 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.6 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lilli Tagger
74% · 14–5 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,093 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,093 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.3 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Emerson Jones and Lilli Tagger are set to meet at the Girls Australian Open on January 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jones enters with a 42–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tagger has posted a 7–4 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.