Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 20, 2025 • 3:30 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Madison Keys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,358 points across 92 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,358 points across 92 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.6 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,164 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,164 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elena Rybakina and Madison Keys are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 20, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 42–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Keys has posted a 24–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.