Jakub Mensik vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 17, 2025 • 4:35 AM
Final score
2 - 3
Winner Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,128 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,128 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,653 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,653 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.0 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jakub Mensik and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mensik enters with a 24–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fokina has posted a 30–18 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Fokina leads 4–1 over Mensik, including a win in their most recent meeting.