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Match analytics

Danka Kovinic vs Dayana Yastremska · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 16, 2025 • 12:10 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Dayana Yastremska

Key insights

Player performance profile

Danka Kovinic

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

0% · 01 on clay

Games won (last 10)

36%

4 matches tracked · limited sample

Player Skillset

Based on ~208 points across 2 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.737% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.928% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.360% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Dayana Yastremska

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,885 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.658% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.554% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.688% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
58%67% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Danka Kovinic and Dayana Yastremska are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Kovinic enters with a 1–2 record on hard courts in 2025, while Yastremska has posted a 16–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Yastremska entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Yastremska leads 1–0 over Kovinic, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Yastremska, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Kovinic has gone 1–4 over the same span.
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