Gabriel Diallo vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 16, 2025 • 1:25 AM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Karen Khachanov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gabriel Diallo
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,748 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,748 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Gabriel Diallo and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Diallo enters with a 18–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Khachanov has posted a 15–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 3–1 over Diallo.