Jack Draper vs Thanasi Kokkinakis · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 15, 2025 • 8:20 AM
Final score
3 - 2
Winner Jack Draper
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jack Draper
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,581 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,581 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.5 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Games won (last 10)
57%
5 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,004 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,004 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jack Draper and Thanasi Kokkinakis are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Draper enters with a 14–3 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kokkinakis has posted a 0–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Draper entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Draper leads 3–1 over Kokkinakis, including a win in their most recent meeting.