Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 15, 2025 • 3:00 AM
Final score
0 - 3
Winner Nuno Borges
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jordan Thompson
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,709 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,709 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 67% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nuno Borges
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,620 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,620 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jordan Thompson and Nuno Borges are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Thompson enters with a 10–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Borges has posted a 20–18 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Borges leads 3–0 over Thompson, including a win in their most recent meeting.