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Match analytics

Emma Navarro vs Peyton Stearns · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 14, 2025 • 12:45 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Emma Navarro

Key insights

Player performance profile

Emma Navarro

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,430 points across 62 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.757% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.875% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.943% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
47%40% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Peyton Stearns

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,172 points across 48 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.537% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.631% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.756% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%30% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Emma Navarro and Peyton Stearns are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Navarro enters with a 17–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Stearns has posted a 10–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Navarro, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Navarro leads 5–0 over Stearns, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Stearns, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Navarro has gone 1–4 over the same span.
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