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Match analytics

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction

Australian Open • Hard • Jan 14, 2025 • 8:25 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 3

Winner Alex De Minaur

Key insights

Player performance profile

Botic Van De Zandschulp

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,646 points across 61 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.134% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.676% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-8.23% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
27%8% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alex De Minaur

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~13,503 points across 91 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.677% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.497% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.428% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Botic Van De Zandschulp and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zandschulp enters with a 17–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Minaur has posted a 41–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Minaur entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 4–0 over Zandschulp, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Zandschulp and Minaur have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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