Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 14, 2025 • 5:55 AM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,637 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,637 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.0 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,077 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,077 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Shelton enters with a 27–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nakashima has posted a 21–19 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Shelton leads 5–0 over Nakashima, including a win in their most recent meeting.