Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Jakub Mensik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Auckland • Hard • Jan 7, 2025 • 5:40 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jakub Mensik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pablo Carreno-Busta
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,997 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,997 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,043 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,043 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pablo Carreno-Busta and Jakub Mensik are set to meet at the Auckland on January 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Carreno-Busta enters with a 26–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mensik has posted a 24–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mensik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mensik leads 3–0 over Carreno-Busta, including a win in their most recent meeting.