Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Sebastian Baez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Auckland • Hard • Jan 8, 2025 • 1:20 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Facundo Diaz Acosta
Key insights
Player performance profile
Facundo Diaz Acosta
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,616 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,616 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.9 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sebastian Baez
100% · 3–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,839 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,839 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.9 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Facundo Diaz Acosta and Sebastian Baez are set to meet at the Auckland on January 8, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Acosta enters with a 6–5 record on hard courts in 2025, while Baez has posted a 3–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Baez entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.