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Match analytics

Lukas Neumayer vs Matteo Gigante · Match odds & ELO prediction

Australian Open • Hard • Jan 8, 2025 • 1:05 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Matteo Gigante

Key insights

Player performance profile

Lukas Neumayer

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,239 points across 14 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.418% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.970% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.513% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
20%3% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Matteo Gigante

HARD

45% · 1012 on hard

CLAY

65% · 158 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

50% · 22 on grass

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,509 points across 23 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.531% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.394% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.534% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%13% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Lukas Neumayer and Matteo Gigante are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 8, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Neumayer enters with a 3–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gigante has posted a 10–12 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Gigante leads 2–1 over Neumayer, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Neumayer, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Gigante has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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