Match analytics

Katerina Siniakova vs Diana Shnaider · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 7, 2025 • 4:55 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Diana Shnaider

Key insights

Player performance profile

Katerina Siniakova

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,995 points across 50 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.758% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.877% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.582% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
77%91% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Diana Shnaider

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,360 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.873% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.042% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.940% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
47%39% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Katerina Siniakova and Diana Shnaider are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Siniakova enters with a 27–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shnaider has posted a 16–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Shnaider leads 2–1 over Siniakova, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Shnaider, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Siniakova has gone 2–3 over the same span.