Hanna Chang vs Varvara Lepchenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 6, 2025 • 5:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Varvara Lepchenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hanna Chang
33% · 10–20 on hard
47% · 9–10 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,161 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,161 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -17.6 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,537 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,537 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hanna Chang and Varvara Lepchenko are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Chang enters with a 10–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Lepchenko has posted a 17–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Lepchenko, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.