Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Madison Keys · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 7, 2025 • 12:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Madison Keys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Beatriz Haddad Maia
35% · 8–15 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
50% · 4–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,873 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,873 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,643 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,643 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Madison Keys are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maia enters with a 8–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Keys has posted a 24–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Keys, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Keys leads 3–2 over Maia, including a win in their most recent meeting.