Maria Sakkari vs Peyton Stearns · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 4, 2025 • 11:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Peyton Stearns
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Sakkari
57% · 8–6 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,795 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,795 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Peyton Stearns
58% · 11–8 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,132 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,132 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 37% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Sakkari and Peyton Stearns are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 4, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sakkari enters with a 15–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Stearns has posted a 10–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sakkari, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Stearns leads 2–0 over Sakkari, including a win in their most recent meeting.