Jurij Rodionov vs Shintaro Mochizuki · Match odds & ELO prediction
Noumea • Hard • Jan 3, 2025 • 10:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Shintaro Mochizuki
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jurij Rodionov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,098 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,098 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.5 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Shintaro Mochizuki
0% · 0–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,363 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,363 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jurij Rodionov and Shintaro Mochizuki are set to meet at the Noumea on January 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rodionov enters with a 25–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mochizuki has posted a 30–21 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rodionov, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.