Kei Nishikori vs Cameron Norrie · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hong Kong • Hard • Jan 3, 2025 • 12:20 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Kei Nishikori
Key insights
Player performance profile
Kei Nishikori
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,582 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,582 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,798 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,798 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 62% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Kei Nishikori and Cameron Norrie are set to meet at the Hong Kong on January 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Nishikori enters with a 11–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Norrie has posted a 19–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nishikori entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nishikori leads 2–0 over Norrie, including a win in their most recent meeting.