Match analytics

Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas Machac · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP United Cup • Hard • Jan 3, 2025 • 8:40 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Tomas Machac

Key insights

Player performance profile

Flavio Cobolli

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,323 points across 61 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.627% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.771% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.735% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Tomas Machac

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,268 points across 40 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.578% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.753% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+7.896% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
69%91% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Flavio Cobolli and Tomas Machac are set to meet at the ATP United Cup on January 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cobolli enters with a 15–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Machac has posted a 17–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Machac entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Machac leads 3–2 over Cobolli.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Cobolli and Machac have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.