Peyton Stearns vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Brisbane • Hard • Jan 1, 2025 • 3:45 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Peyton Stearns
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,615 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,615 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Peyton Stearns and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the WTA Brisbane on January 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Stearns enters with a 10–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kasatkina has posted a 12–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Stearns, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 4–2 over Stearns, including a win in their most recent meeting.