BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda Bencic · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA United Cup • Hard • Dec 29, 2024 • 8:35 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Jasmine Paolini

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jasmine Paolini

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.961% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.082% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.168% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%61% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Belinda Bencic

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,052 points across 56 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.987% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.467% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+9.396% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
86%96% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jasmine Paolini and Belinda Bencic are set to meet at the WTA United Cup on December 29, 2024 in a hard-court singles match. Paolini enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2024, while Bencic has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bencic leads 3–2 over Paolini, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Paolini and Bencic have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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